Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Survivor: Cagayan E4 Power Rankings

Woo can probably stick
around no matter who
he ends up with.
It's time for the most difficult week of rankings; I will attempt the impossible task of ranking the castaways right before a tribe swap. I haven't seen any of the mid-week previews for the next episode, so I will be rating them without knowing who'll end up on their tribe.
Last Week: Finally I was on the mark. I had J'Tia as #14 as did Ciera, while Gordon had her in 15.
Total Score: 21 points

This Week:

1: Woo
I'm finding Woo to be a much more interesting player than I would have expected right after the premiere. He can seemingly get along with anyone but doesn't present much of a threat, so Woo can probably stick around no matter who he ends up with. Wooooo!

2: Trish
She was on the outs with the original Brawn tribe, but has become part of the new majority. And a coterie of Beauty with Brains allies won't be looking at Trish if they're thinking of toppling the Brawn alliance.

3: Jefra
If Brawn sticks together and picks up a straggler or two from Brains, it could be Beauty that's targeted, but I think there are much more obvious targets than Jefra.

4: Alexis
Same as Jefra, although if Morgan, Jefra, and Alexis are on the same tribe and Morgan flips to the Brawn/Brains, I think Alexis will be her target, not Jefra.

5: Morgan
Morgan will defect to anyone right now, and people like Tony and Sarah would welcome the vote she provides with open arms. The only problem for her is if she's on a Beauty-dominated tribe with LJ/Jeremiah.

Tasha in Season 28 Episode 4
Tasha will be wooed
by both Brawn
and Beauty.
6: Kass
The least threatening of the Brains Three, Kass is more likely to be coveted for her swing vote status than voted out.

7: Tasha
Tasha as well will be wooed (ha, get it? Wooed!) by both Brawn and Beauty, and it's unlikely they'll band together against her.

8: Spencer
Spencer's only problem is that he could be perceived as a physical threat, especially after his performance in the last challenge. But he will most likely also be a sought after swing vote.
Lindsey and Tony in Season 28 Episode 3
A Beauty alliance looking to
topple Brawn will go for
leaders like Sarah and Tony
before Lindsey.

9: Lindsey
Much like Jefra, a Beauty alliance looking to topple Brawn will go for leaders like Sarah and Tony before Lindsey. The only situation in which I foresee Lindsey's torch being snuffed is if Sarah is paranoid enough to flip to Beauty and there's no Cliff on her tribe to target first.

10: Tony
Tony should be safe with his own tribe, but needs to worry about an alliance of Beauty and Brains that could target Brawn leaders such as himself.

11: Sarah
Sarah's in about the same position as Tony, but without the idol in her pocket.

LJ in Season 28 Episode 4
LJ is the most obvious
member of Beauty to
be targeted if
Brawn prevails.
12: LJ
LJ is the most obvious member of Beauty to be targeted if Brawn prevails, and could also be in trouble if Morgan flips. Luckily for him, he has an idol.

13: Jeremiah
Not as big a target as LJ to the Brawn alliance, but apparently the one Morgan decided to go after. And if she aligns herself with Brawn, she will probably get to dictate who's voted out. Plus, he doesn't have an idol.

14: Cliff
I hate to put Cliff at the bottom for the second week in the row, but Sarah seems really paranoid and intent on getting Cliff out. If she ends up on the same tribe as him, I could see her abandoning her tribe to vote him out, or even offering an olive branch to the Beauty/Brains members to get rid of him.

As you can tell from my rankings, I think we're going to see a power struggle between former Solana and former Aparri, with former Luzon members (and possibly Sarah and Morgan) acting as the swing votes. Tune in tonight to read my recap of who came out on top!

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